CoinForum.com Homepage
Forum Home Forum Home > US Coins & Paper Money > US Coin Main Forums
  New Posts New Posts RSS Feed - Rare Coin Market of 1986
  FAQ FAQ  Forum Search   Events   Register Register  Login Login


Rare Coin Market of 1986

 Post Reply Post Reply
Author
Message Reverse Sort Order
just carl View Drop Down
Coin Expert
Coin Expert
Avatar

Joined: 02 Jun 2006
Location: United States
Status: Offline
Points: 1221
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote just carl Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Topic: Rare Coin Market of 1986
    Posted: 18 Dec 2009 at 6:35am
To sum it all up anyone selling coins is basically a coin dealer. Not necessarily a coin expert, coin collector, Numismatically educated, just a seller of coins. If they can sell a $1 coin for $10, that is their job as much as a person that sells a car worth $1,000 for $5,000. Although some collectors end up selling coins for one reason or another, once selling, that person becomes a coin dealer. No big problem with that buy everyone should remember that they are just doing a job. If they were driving a truck, selling shoes, engineering a Nuclear power station, they are just doing thier jobs and what ever monitary advantages there are to thier jobs, that is the rewards or the reason for that profession.
All the coins mentioned in the original post were just coin sold to someone that didn't know the real prices by someone that just wanted to make a profit. How much of a profit is up to the purchaser and sellers of anything. This hobby then becomes just a buisness and extreame cautions should be maintained.
just carl
Back to Top
Sponsored Links


Back to Top
cladking View Drop Down
Coin Groupie
Coin Groupie
Avatar

Joined: 29 Sep 2006
Status: Offline
Points: 88
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote cladking Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Dec 2009 at 7:48am
Pondman;
 
It is a matter of experience.  A person needs to buy and sell coins to get a feel for what they are really worth.  While he's developing this "feel" he'll also see what's out there (what's available) and what's rare. 
 
A collector will usually pick this up whether he trys to or not.  He'll learn to spot the bargains whether they're in his series or not.  Most collectors don't get caught up in the hype that pushes one thing or another far higher. 
 
When money pours into the market dealers simply have to have "product" to sell and they have to price it at market.  When this happens it's not a good time to be throwing money around. 
 
I agree with you on all points really.  There are lots of good people in the hobby.  It's a shame that the hobby periodically attracts large numbers of people who see rapidly advancing prices and want to get in on it.  It's not their fault they get burned but they usually do unless they get out at the top. 
 
It's really tough to make money investing in collectibles but it seems easy when looking at it from the outside and seeing prices up hundreds fold.  Coins are probably kinder to investors than most collectibles but investors should stick to financial instruments or commodities for the main part. 

Man fears time, yet time fears the pyramids.
Back to Top
pondman View Drop Down
New Member
New Member
Avatar

Joined: 30 Nov 2009
Location: United States
Status: Offline
Points: 4
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote pondman Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 30 Nov 2009 at 4:27am
 Much of the blame often lies with the investors who think they can rely on a smoking hot market and investment advice from dealers who have to sell what they can obtain rather than the best investment for the time.  
 
When looking through the list of coins, what do you see? 
 
I consider myself a seasoned buyer and seller of coins. I personally wouldn't be interested in anything on the list. In truth, I'm suprised the dealer made the offer he/ she did. That dealer is paying retail. I'd take  the money.
 
1881-s, 1887, 1888 Morgans...why would you buy these? Unless you wanted to complete a collection.
 
The reality --the coins on this list are common. Fifty years from now I doubt if there will be much interest in these coins.
 
I believe the coin bubble which burst in 89 was similiar to the technology bust. Most of the tech stock in 2000 had no revenue at all; Therefore most shares shouldn't have been purchased. However most people would be jumping up and down if they bought 1,000 shares of amazon at 1997 prices. Amazon was the exception-- the gem.
 
I believe there are a number gems in the current coin market due to the weak economy and people needing to sell estates. I see a number of dealers, including online, under pressure to sell inventory at bargain prices.   
 
 
 
I'm not trying to blame your father or absolve all dealers of all blame in all situations merely pointing out that "investing" in collectibles almost always is a disaster even for insiders. 
 
There isn't a perfect correlation between rarity and price, but it's strong. People who focus on type and buy and sell enough to know key values often reap huge profits in the short and long run. 
 
In addition I also trust a number of dealers! There are good people in numismatics. I've bought many, many raw coins through dealers because I trust their judgement and expert grading experience. I'm very happy to pay them their 10-15%. I'll take the risk of ownership.
Back to Top
cladking View Drop Down
Coin Groupie
Coin Groupie
Avatar

Joined: 29 Sep 2006
Status: Offline
Points: 88
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote cladking Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 26 Nov 2009 at 12:57pm
Originally posted by ravenwoods ravenwoods wrote:

My dad also bought coins from Lee Numismatics and Blanchards. Fortunately he didn't spend as much on them. The "Investment with Lee Numismatics" is currently worth half what he paid in 1984. Same with Blanchards. Sounds like there are a lot of Unethical coin dealers out there.

Fortunately he made a killing with junk silver coins. He had some vending machines back in the 60s and 70s. When he brought the coins home we would sort out all the silver coins. We still have these. Face value is over $1000, so market value is more than $12,000.
 
Some of the practices of dealers can be very detrimental to buyers.  It's only natural to try to maximize profits and "investors" come out of the woodwork in good times.  Much of the blame often lies with the investors who think they can rely on a smoking hot market and investment advice from dealers who have to sell what they can obtain rather than the best investment for the time.  Coins that are really potentially increasing are known to many and get snapped up while customers continue to clamor for product they don't understand. 
 
I'm not trying to blame your father or absolve all dealers of all blame in all situations merely pointing out that "investing" in collectibles almost always is a disaster even for insiders.  There are exceptions and sometimes dealers can work on very small markups that give investors a better chance but it still always boils down to the damage done when the market is no longer hot; no longer attracting lots of money. 
 
A lot of people do make a lot of money in the market but they tend to be collectors who learn to recognize value and dealers who are good businessmen and have lots of contacts and customers. 
 
The loss is a shame and I do hope you can find a way to minimize it. 

Man fears time, yet time fears the pyramids.
Back to Top
just carl View Drop Down
Coin Expert
Coin Expert
Avatar

Joined: 02 Jun 2006
Location: United States
Status: Offline
Points: 1221
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote just carl Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 23 Nov 2009 at 4:21am
Originally posted by ravenwoods ravenwoods wrote:

My dad also bought coins from Lee Numismatics and Blanchards. Fortunately he didn't spend as much on them. The "Investment with Lee Numismatics" is currently worth half what he paid in 1984. Same with Blanchards. Sounds like there are a lot of Unethical coin dealers out there.

Fortunately he made a killing with junk silver coins. He had some vending machines back in the 60s and 70s. When he brought the coins home we would sort out all the silver coins. We still have these. Face value is over $1000, so market value is more than $12,000.
Not really true about a lot of unethical coin dealers back then. In fact most of the ones that tried selling coins were only investment companies or something like that. They hired those telemarketers to phone people attempting to sell coins for really over priced prices. That was just buisness and with many buisnesses. Ever watch TV with all those advertisements of odd products that you eventually see at the flea markets. Those too are just buisness people and usually have no idea of what they are saying at all as long as you buy the stuff.
I used to know many coin dealers as far back as the late 40's and 50's. Most were just normal, every day coin dealers attempting to make a living and not cheat people. I'm not trying to defend coin dealers at all. Many compare them to a used car salesman. Just stating facts as I see them.
As to your $1,000 worth of old coins. You really should get a Red Book by Whitman Publishing prior to doing anything with those. Sure would be a horror story if you sold a Dime worth a thousand for a dollar.
just carl
Back to Top
ravenwoods View Drop Down
New Member
New Member


Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Location: United States
Status: Offline
Points: 11
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ravenwoods Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Nov 2009 at 2:16pm
My dad also bought coins from Lee Numismatics and Blanchards. Fortunately he didn't spend as much on them. The "Investment with Lee Numismatics" is currently worth half what he paid in 1984. Same with Blanchards. Sounds like there are a lot of Unethical coin dealers out there.

Fortunately he made a killing with junk silver coins. He had some vending machines back in the 60s and 70s. When he brought the coins home we would sort out all the silver coins. We still have these. Face value is over $1000, so market value is more than $12,000.
Back to Top
just carl View Drop Down
Coin Expert
Coin Expert
Avatar

Joined: 02 Jun 2006
Location: United States
Status: Offline
Points: 1221
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote just carl Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12 Nov 2009 at 6:54am
Now that is the kind of reply that should never be said. It's utterly rediculous, stupid, erroneous and just plain dumb. Mostly it's not true at all. That person assumed you didn't know anything about coins and that is why they made those dumb statements.
This statement for example:
(Before the creation of PCGS, buyers and sellers of rare coins would
basically guess at a particular coin's rarity. In 1986 the population of
all coins were pretty low because most of the rare coins in existence
were not graded professionally.)
I've been collecting coins for well over 60 years and the creation of PCGS and/or NGC or any of the other TPGS's had nothing to do with how coins are graded. Way, way back in 1946 a bookd came out called the Red Book and was noted as the 1947 Edition. It contained grades of coins and how to evalute them. People DID NOT GUESS at a grade, it was either Good, Very Good, etc. but not just a guess. I remember well those silly phone calls about investing in coins with excessively overpriced coins. Many organizations just went and purchased piles of coins and tried that over the phone stuff. No internet then you know.
To make this short, he got taken and their answer is completely a joke.
just carl
Back to Top
ravenwoods View Drop Down
New Member
New Member


Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Location: United States
Status: Offline
Points: 11
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ravenwoods Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 11 Nov 2009 at 1:12am
Thanks for the great advice everyone. Sounds like David Hall was promoting rare coins as an investment in the 80s. I'll give Ebay a try. I hate the big commission that PayPal takes out of the deal though. Anyway this is the explanation one person at David Hall emailed me this week:


"From what I know, (I'm a bit younger, so I hear stories about what
happened the market ) the creation of PCGS created an atmosphere of
speculation into the rare coin market. This fact created a huge demand
for rare coins as a solid investment for the first time because now
there was real data to prove a coin's rarity through population reports.

Before the creation of PCGS, buyers and sellers of rare coins would
basically guess at a particular coin's rarity. In 1986 the population of
all coins were pretty low because most of the rare coins in existence
were not graded professionally. This created a feeding frenzy and coin
demand went through the roof as well as coin prices. 24 years later and
24 years of coin grading later, the dust has settled and we all have a
much more accurate view of what coins are rare.

In short, every investor that bought coins in the 1980's has overpaid.
This was not intentional, it's just the way the market played itself
out. Many investors feel cheated and will never return to the rare coin
market without knowing the climate of the industry at a particular time.
But we can say the same thing about the housing market today. All
investments involve good timing and the rare coin market is no different."
Back to Top
just carl View Drop Down
Coin Expert
Coin Expert
Avatar

Joined: 02 Jun 2006
Location: United States
Status: Offline
Points: 1221
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote just carl Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10 Nov 2009 at 12:03am
I did get your PM. As to having them recirtified, that is really not in your best interest right now. Again, it would cost more to have that done and you may well not come out ahead at all. Might even come down in value if the grades are reduced. Looking over your info I really think he got badly taken by that dealer. Those prices of Dimes is and always would have been out of line with anytime in the past or future. He was really badly taken. To bad more people don't see this post and realize what kind of dealer that is that would do that sort of thing.
As to selling them, I would suggest trying ebay. Coin stores, coin show dealers, etc always have to work on a very high profit margin. A coin store usually must make enough profit to pay for phone, gas, water, electric bills and then too, if that is the only buisness in the family, pay for house expenses also. If kids, those costs also must come out of selling coins and coin collecting item's profits. Many do not understand this and usally want to sell coins to dealers for the same thing they sell them for too. That just can not be possible due to the above.
I know you may not get what you expect, but on ebay the chances are much better than attempting to have that original dealer take them back.
Again, don't bother looking into having them re evaluated by sending them in for that since that will cost even more and may well prove nothing.
And I really hope a tax expert could find some way to utilize the loss for that so called investment.
Really sorry you are having such a poor experience in this hobby. This is a hobby and NEVER, EVER should be attempted as an investment.
just carl
Back to Top
cladking View Drop Down
Coin Groupie
Coin Groupie
Avatar

Joined: 29 Sep 2006
Status: Offline
Points: 88
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote cladking Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 09 Nov 2009 at 8:19am
I should add that you could consider David Hall's offers to be sufficient evidence that eating the loss is the way to go.  If you do resubmit them it would be best to remove them from the old holders. 

Man fears time, yet time fears the pyramids.
Back to Top
cladking View Drop Down
Coin Groupie
Coin Groupie
Avatar

Joined: 29 Sep 2006
Status: Offline
Points: 88
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote cladking Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 09 Nov 2009 at 8:17am
Ouch.
 
Not everyone did that poorly.  What saves a lot of collectors from that time period is that grades can be much higher now days and even a little higher grade on one coin could swing the whole thing to a good deal.  You might try shopping them around a little to advanced collectors or to dealers but it will be hard to find someone willing to pay a higher grade than the slab.
 
My suggestion would be if your dad was a collector to take the chance and get them regraded.  It might be throwing good money after bad and you'll have nothing left.  If he was more an investor then just figure he overpaid for overgraded coins and eat the loss. 
 
Most investors from that time period did poorly and this is only a little worse than average. 
 
Good luck.   

Man fears time, yet time fears the pyramids.
Back to Top
ravenwoods View Drop Down
New Member
New Member


Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Location: United States
Status: Offline
Points: 11
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ravenwoods Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05 Nov 2009 at 2:35pm
Here is a description of the 19 coins purchased from David Hall in 1986. Total cost of the 19 coins was. $6577. Hall offered $956 to buy them back this week.

1. Cert No. 1112564  PCGS no. 3906, 1908 5C, PR64, Cost in 1986: $1550
David Hall offered $235 to buy it back this week.

2. Cert no. 2002488 PCGS no. 5004, 1937 10C, MS65, cost in 1986: $52
David Hall offered $13 to buy it back this week.

3. Cert No. 2002566 PCGS no. 5016, 1939 10C, MS65, cost in 1986: $50
Hall offered $13 for it this week.

4. Cert no. 1106903 PCGS no. 5018, 1939-D 10C, MS65, cost in 1986: $50
Hall offered $13 for it this week.

5. Cert no. 1115538 PCGS no. 5025, 1940-D 10C, MS65FB, cost in 1986: $225. Hall offered $30 this week.

6. Cert no. 1114364 PCGS no. 5032, 1941-S 10C, MS65, cost in 1986: $50
Hall offered $13 this week.

7. 1114340 PCGS no. 5038, 1942-D 10C MS65, cost 1986: $52.
Hall offered $13 this week.

8. 1134505 PCGS no. 5053, 1944-D 10C MS64FB, cost in 1986: $68.
Hall offered $11 this week.

9. 1093308 PCGS no. 5058, 1945-D 10C MS65, cost in 1986: $68.
Hall offered $13 this week.

10.  1114413 PCGS no. 6625, 1945-D 50C MS64, cost in 1986: $435.
Hall offered $42 this week.

11.  2000573 PCGS no. 6626, 1945-S 50C MS64, cost in 1986:$480.
Hall offered $42 this week.

12. 2002371 PCGS no. 6628 1946-D 50C MS64, cost in 1986: $405.
Hall offered $42.00 this week.

13. 1110485 PCGS no. 6696, 1955 50C PR67, cost in 1986: $187.
Hall offered $70 this week.

14. 1115889 PCGS no. 6697, 1956 Type 2 50C PR64, cost in 1986: $25
Hall offered me $17 this week.

15. 1116055 PCGS no. 7130, 1881-S $1 MS64, cost in 1986: $465.
Hall offered me $45 this week.

16. 1138998 PCGS no. 7130, 1881-S $1 MS65, cost in 1986: $625.
Hall offered me $110 this week.

17. 1039457 PCGS no. 7172, 1887 $1 MS64, cost in 1986: $500.
Hall offered me $42.00 this week.

18. 1114833 PCGS no. 7182, 1888 $1 MS64, cost in 1986: $560.
Hall offered me $42 this week.

19. 1153731 PCGS no. 9345, 1936 Oregon 50C MS64, cost in 1986: $685
Hall offered me $150 this week.
Back to Top
just carl View Drop Down
Coin Expert
Coin Expert
Avatar

Joined: 02 Jun 2006
Location: United States
Status: Offline
Points: 1221
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote just carl Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Nov 2009 at 12:55am
WELCOME TO THE FORUM
For one thing I don't think the prices of those coins dropped that much. If he didn't know coins at that time, he may have been taken for to much. And the PCGS web site is really not a great place to find coin values.
To start with I suggest if you can not post a photo of the coins here, you should try to descibe each one. Your so called 19 rare coins may well be just common coins that were badly overpriced by someone.
Try saying what they are here before you run out and sell them to anyone.
Do not take them to a coin store and ask what they are worth. Sort of like trusting a used car saleman.
Also, that story about a $5,000 expendature for some coins and then lost 50% could well be a typical thing you read on the internet with little to know truth to it at all. However, if the same dealer that sold those to your Dad, might well be true. Sounds like he and others really got taken.
If you do not know coins, it is the same as buying anything. A house, car, boat, even clothing and food. You have to know values of items or you'll loose out all the time.
Sounds like your Dad was trying to use coins as an investment and they are really mostly a hobby. Sort of like collecting Beanie Babies, sports cards, etc where they may well not really be worth what you think.
As a basic rule the values of coins really has not dropped over the years. I've got the Red Book from 1947 to present and in that book you could see that although the times may have been poor economically, coin values did not drop hardly at all.
I mostly suspect the dealer really took your Dad for way to much money at that time.
As for a tax deduction, I really don't think so. If your Dad has the original bill of sale, and you do sell those coins for a substancial loss, it may be possible but I'd really check with a stock expert first.  
just carl
Back to Top
ravenwoods View Drop Down
New Member
New Member


Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Location: United States
Status: Offline
Points: 11
Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ravenwoods Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Nov 2009 at 3:07pm
My father paid about $6500 in 1986 for 19 rare coins that are PCGS evaluated and in slabs. According to the PCGS website the same coins are now worth only $1447. Was there a speculative bubble in the 80s? I found another website where a guy told how he bought $5000 of rare coins from the same dealer and after two months the coins had dropped in value by 50%. So what was going on with rare coins at that time?

Anyway we are busy dividing up my dad's estate and selling these coins now at a loss may help him on his income taxes.
Back to Top
 Post Reply Post Reply
  Share Topic   

Forum Jump Forum Permissions View Drop Down